Louisville (4-0) (2-2 ATS) @ North Carolina State (3-1) (0-4 ATS)
Louisville -3 or -3.5
Depending upon the side you like in this Friday night matchup, you can get the best of the number if you shop around. This line seems very fishy to me at a short number against a team that has not covered a spread. Notre Dame wasn’t even laying a TD when they faced off against NC State. Fishy things happen on Fridays in college football. My numbers say Louisville but it’s not worth it to me.
#10 Utah (4-0) (2-1-1 ATS) @ #19 Oregon State (3-1) (2-2 ATS)
Oregon State -3 or -3.5
Another one that if you shop you can get the best of the number depending what you like. Once again, Cam Rising may or may not play which will be a big factor in not only the outcome of the game but the spread. I really like both teams but lean towards the home team in Oregon State. Utah is a much better team at home.
#22 Florida (3-1) (1-3 ATS) @ Kentucky (4-0) (3-1 ATS)
Kentucky -1 or -1.5
Anytime you see an unranked team favorite versus a ranked team you take notice. Kentucky has not played anyone so far this year. Meanwhile, Florida knocked off then, #11 Tennessee, at home. A lot of people may be pointing to that as a reason to back Florida. I just don’t think Tennessee is very good. We will certainly find out about both of these teams this week. I have a slight lean to Kentucky in a game they can show us if they have it.
#8 USC (4-0) (2-2 ATS) @ Colorado (3-1) (2-2 ATS)
USC -21.5 or -22
Total 73.5 or 74.5
Colorado finally came back to earth last week getting destroyed by Oregon 42-6. USC continues to let teams kind of hang around. I wish I jumped on Colorado +26 when it first came out. We’ve seen Colorado have the ability to score points and USC’s defense remains vulnerable. I can see Colorado hanging and points scored in this one. My only question on points being scored is this early 10am local time start. I think this over/under rises as we get closer to game day. If you like it, take it sooner than later.
#11 Notre Dame (4-1 (4-1 ATS) @ #17 Duke (4-0) (3-1 ATS)
ND -5.5 or -6
Total 52.5 or 51.5
Will Notre Dame come back after that devastating last second loss last week or will Duke continue it’s magical season? These are questions I wish I had a better guess on and won’t be playing the side. Keep in mind, Notre Dame was only -7 favorite vs NC State 3 weeks ago. Duke is much better. I think there may be some value on Duke but not enough to play for me. This total stands out. It has dropped from 55.5. Duke’s defense has stood out to me so far this year giving up 8.8 points per game. After watching how low scoring the ND/Ohio State game was last week, I don’t really see how this game gets played into the 50s. I also think Duke’s best chance to win is to keep it slower paced.
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