#2 Michigan (9-0) (4-4-1 ATS) @ #9 Penn State (8-1) (7-2 ATS)
Michigan -4.5 Current Splits MICHIGAN (87% money/77% bets)
Total 46 Current Splits OVER (75% money/73% bets)
This line opened at Michigan -6.5. I heard a trader on Draftkings say they could not take a bet on Penn State Sunday when they first opened. Despite this, we have seen the line deplete to 4.5. Splits would indicate Michigan as the pro side but this line movement is confusing. I think Michigan can outclass Penn State but hate to bet a road team here. My best bet would be on the under 46. Both teams have stellar defenses. We saw what happened when Penn State played a top tier D in Ohio State. They barely were able to move the ball and went 1-16 on 3rd down. Penn State’s defense is elite as well.
Texas Tech (4-5) (4-5 ATS) @ #16 Kansas (7-2) (5-4 ATS)
Kansas -3.5 or 4 Current Splits KANSAS (76% money/85% bets)
Kansas is playing really good ball this year. Asking them to win by more than a FG doesn’t seem like too much of a task. Despite their mediocre ATS record, Kansas has covered 3 of 4 with their 1 loss at Oklahoma State (who turns out is pretty good). Tech’s wins this year have all been to inferior opponents and just lost to a very poor BYU team. I can see the Jayhawks rolling in this one. If you agree, grab the -3.5 before they are gone. I expect all books to be higher soon enough.
#23 Arizona (8-1 ATS) @ Colorado (5-3-1 ATS)
Arizona -10.5 Current splits ARIZONA (56% money/37% bets)
If you haven’t noticed, Arizona is a really good team this year. That #23 next to their name is well deserved. Oregon State was just laying 13.5 in Boulder last week. Arizona is a better team than the Beavers but the market still doesn’t seem to have caught up to them. The public is still buying into the Colorado story as indicated by the splits. It seems like bait to take Colorado. I will keep riding with Arizona who has been a great story and a covering machine this year.
Miami (6-3) (4-5 ATS) @ #4 Florida State (9-0) (6-3 ATS)
Florida State -14 or -14.5 Current Splits FLORIDA ST (68% money/82% bets)
This is a thought on Florida State as much as it is against Miami. Miami has just been awful since the debacle against Georgia Tech a few weeks ago and just lost by 14 to N.C. State. Florida State plays North Alabama next week, so I don’t really see them taking their foot off of the gas. The current splits are a tiny bit worrisome in a rivalry game. I will continue to see how this spread moves throughout the week to give some clarity. But early thoughts are on the Seminoles.
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