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MLB Player Props — 6/28/24

MLB Player Props: Best bet for pitchers

By 
Brad Evans
WagerWire Contributor
Eric Hartline, USA TODAY Sports

MLB Player Props: Best bet for pitchers

Multiple times each week, resident action seeker Brad Evans will attempt to take the ‘books yard on his favorite MLB prop bets. As always, fade or follow Brad’s picks — fading is encouraged — that’s up to you.

Friday, June 28 — SGP: Both Rockies and White Sox to score 2+ runs, Drew Thorpe 1+ BB, Drew Thorpe 4+ Ks, Dakota Hudson 1+ BB (+130, Caesars)

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Deep dish or tavern style?

When it comes to Windy City pizza offerings, it’s a debate that rages on among locals and tourists alike.

For most out-of-towners, stuffed pies are a must-have. Whether sliding into a booth at Lou Malnati’s, Gino's East or Pizzeria Uno, the artery-clogging glorified casseroles are perceived to be authentic Chicago.

That belief couldn’t be further from the truth.

[ MLB Props: Best bet for hitters ]

Ask area residents and they’ll tell you square-cut ‘zas are the real original. As someone who regularly visits arguably the greatest summer city in North America, the thin versions, featuring a graham cracker like-crust and piled-high toppings, blow away their thicker cousins. It’s really no contest.

The Southside staple is downright delicious. That section of the city’s baseball representative, however, is anything but.

At 22-61, the White Sux are only 31 games out of first in the American League Central. Be afraid, Cleveland. Be very afraid.

In a basement battle with the NL-worst Colorado Rockies set to “smash” attendance records at Guaranteed Rate Field on Friday, here’s a SGP roughly six people will care about.

Both Rockies and White Sox to score 2+ runs. Admittedly, this leg could cause sweat glands to overwork. Both clubs rank outside the top 15 in wRC+ over the last two weeks. Drilling down, the Sox have averaged a laughable 2.53 runs per game during that span. Meanwhile, Colorado has scored a more palatable 5.08 runs per game. It’s doable, but Chicago has touched home once or not at all five times in the last 10 days. Have a towel handy.

Drew Thorpe 1+ BB. In his first three big league outings, the revered prospect has posted a ghastly 6.91 BB/9. Specifically, he’s walked two, five and four batters in those contests. Colorado is hardly a patient team, but it has been middle of the pack in walk rate (7.6%) over the last two weeks. So Rockies hitters are capable of playing the waiting game. All we need is one.

Drew Thorpe 4+ Ks. You feel that breeze? The brisk wind was generated from Colorado whiffs. Over the last two weeks only Seattle owns a higher strikeout percentage than the Pebbles. During that stretch, Bud Black’s bunch have been punched out on 26.2% of its plate appearances. With only a 5.65 K/9 on the season, Thorpe isn’t exactly resembling Mark Buehrle. However, the rookie righty has reached the necessary number in two of three starts. Play the matchup.

Dakota Hudson 1+ BB. Completely blemished in the walks category, Hudson has given up at least one free pass in all 15 starts this year. His BB/9 is lower on the road (3.29), but with a 4.46 overall mark in the measurement, he’s likely to extend the streak. The White Sox are similar to their competitors in dish approach. Since June 14, they’re No. 18 in BB%, taking their base on 7.0% of plate appearances. Similar to Thorpe, this is a small ask.

Pitcher Prop season record: 30-40, -3.52 units (We’ve really hit the skids)