Week 1 was a rather boring day for offenses and fantasy owners.  If you bet unders and followed that week 1 system, you had a nice day as unders went 10-4 yesterday improving to 11-4 on the year.  Underdogs went 7-6 against the spread.  Road teams went 9-5 straight up and 11-3 against the spread.

Rookie QBs went 0-3 straight up and against the spread and their totals went 2-1 to the under.

QBs that did not play in the preseason didn’t play great either.  The overall game totals went 7-2 (6-2-1 or 6-3 depending on the # you got in Phi/NE) to the under.  We saw massive struggles by Joe Burrow and the Benals, Ryan Tannehill and the Titans, Kirk Cousins and the Vikings and even Lamar Jackson and the Ravens (though they won and covered).

Wong teasers faired well unless you bundled with Pittsburgh who got blown out 30-7.

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets

Bills -2

Total 44.5

I have been hearing a lot of people say the public is all over the Bills so the Jets are the right side.  I see pretty even splits, a little more laying the points with the Bills and a little more taking the moneyline with the Jets (I’m sure the books would love a 1 point Bills win).  My gut read on this is the public should be on the Jets in this one.  The books have the Bills as the favorite to get more money on the Jets.  Having said all of that, I think the better play is on the total.  There is a decent public vs pro split on this 41% of bets on the under but 56% of the money.  We have seen this line continue to drop from its open at 47 to the current 44.5.  44.5 is the lowest I would go betting the under.  If it follows the week 1 trend, we may have a lower scoring game here.

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