Monday Night Football picks: Titans at Dolphins, Seahawks at Lions

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Prime-time NFL games bring in the numbers — and the bets. In an attempt to boost gamer bankrolls, this only occasionally profitable bettor will attempt to stack greenbacks under the lights. As always, fade or follow — that’s up to you.

Prop play — Tyler Huntley OVER 30.5 rushing yards vs. Titans (-114, Caesars)

Skylar Thompson, we hardly knew thee. Dolphins fans hoping to salvage the season with Tua Tagovailoa sidelined for an indeterminable amount of time unanimously say “Good riddance!”

Huntley, plucked off the Ravens practice squad via trade a couple weeks ago, is a significant quarterback upgrade. He isn’t the air-it-out type, but, as witnessed previously in his Baltimore stint, he’s a suitable game manager.

In nine career starts, Huntley completed 61.9% of his attempts. With a 7-to-6 total TD-to-interception split, he isn’t without the occasional blunder. However, having netted 41.7 rushing yards per game, he brings an element to the Miami offense not even Tagovailoa possesses.

Given his relative newness to Mike McDaniel’s offense, the QB nicknamed “Snoop” should earn his “Gin and Juice” on the ground. As his 7.5 rush attempts line suggests, he’s likely to call his own number 7-9 times.

Tennessee has the league’s fifth-lowest pocket pressure rate (16.5%), but Packers QB Malik Willis gashed the Titans for 73 yards on six carries last week. The D-oh-double-g is unlikely to experience a similar statistical explosion, but if Huntley achieves even half that, backers are buying shiny new bling.

Prop season record: 4-7 -3.35 units

SGP — Geno Smith 1+ passing touchdown, DK Metcalf 60+ receiving yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown 5+ receptions (+125, Caesars)

Geno Smith 1+ passing TD. Quiz your fellow self-proclaimed football aficionados next time you visit the nearby watering hole on who are the NFL’s most accurate passers. Most will probably toss out marquee names like Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen or possibly Brock Purdy. Believe it or not, Smith ranks third at 74.8% behind rookie phenom Jayden Daniels and Allen. The Seahawks QB has been nothing short of magnificently efficient. Most importantly, he has tossed an end-zone strike in each of his first three games. Detroit, which ranks No. 20 in pass EPA D, features a talented but largely inexperienced secondary. The Lions have yielded a modest 6.95 passing yards per attempt, but opposing passers have chucked a TD in every contest. Geno won’t be denied.

DK Metcalf 60+ receiving yards. Equipped with gazelle-like speed and a godlike, big-bodied frame, Metcalf is a perfectly built wide receiver. Without question, he’s one of the most difficult and intimidating assignments for any defensive back in the league. Averaging 8.0 targets, Geno’s main squeeze ranks top-15 in total air yards, total deep targets (six), YAC (105), yards per route run (2.54) and total route wins (52). Routinely torching New England’s Christian Gonzalez and Miami’s Jalen Ramsey in Weeks 2 and 3, Metcalf is gunning for his third-consecutive century-mark performance. To cash, just 60% of that production is needed. He should crush against rookie CB Terrion Arnold, who has gotten rolled in coverage this season. The Alabama product has surrendered a 111.7 passer rating, 13 catches on 19 targets and the 12th-most yards of any DB. Leave no doubt, DK.

Amon-Ra St. Brown 5+ receptions. On paper, the Seattle defense resembles the 1985 Bears or 2000 Ravens. Ah, the beauty of sample size against meek opponents. Bo Nix, Jacoby Brissett and Thompson are the three "future Canton inductees” that Aden Durde’s secondary has faced. But putting respect on the Seahawks D, it likely finishes as a top-10 unit. Still, its early season production is somewhat inflated. Denver’s Josh Reynolds and Devaughn Vele are the only wideouts to snag five passes against Seattle. St. Brown, however, is a different pass catching beast. Splitting time in the slot (44.3% of snaps) and outside, Jared Goff’s sure-handed No. 1 receiver is one of the game’s most versatile weapons. St. Brown’s Week 1 absence was only temporary, as he’s averaged 11.0 targets and 7.0 receptions. The Sun God is also No. 19 in total route wins and No. 1 in win rate against man coverage. He’ll undoubtedly keep DBs Tre Brown (50.0 catch percentage allowed) and Devon Witherspoon (66.7%) busy. Bank on Amon-Ra tallying five or more catches for the third-straight week.

SGP season record: 3-8, -4.95 units

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