NBA — 2/19/26

NBA May Consider Eliminating the Draft as Tanking and Elite College Talent Rise

By 
drew
WagerWire Contributor
NBA Draft in Question

A Radical Idea: The End of the NBA Draft?

For nearly 80 years, the NBA Draft has been the league’s foundation for bringing young stars into the league. But now, in one of the most shocking developments in modern basketball, NBA Commissioner Adam Silver has openly acknowledged the possibility of eliminating the draft entirely.

The reason? Tanking, and the increasing value of elite college prospects.

Speaking during All-Star Weekend, Silver admitted the league’s current system “is not working” and confirmed that “every possible remedy” is being considered to fix tanking and restore competitive balance.

Among those remedies: the nuclear option, abolishing the draft.

Tanking Has Reached a Breaking Point

Tanking, when teams intentionally lose games to improve draft position, has become one of the NBA’s biggest problems.

Silver recently fined teams like the Utah Jazz and Indiana Pacers a combined $600,000 for sitting healthy players in games, calling the behavior a threat to the league’s integrity.

Even more concerning, Silver said the problem has gotten worse than in recent years, with some teams prioritizing draft positioning over winning.

In fact, Silver admitted fans themselves are sometimes rooting for losses to secure better draft odds, something that undermines the spirit of competition.

The core issue is simple:

The worse a team is, the better its chance of landing a superstar.

That creates an incentive to lose on purpose.

A Loaded Draft Class Makes Tanking Even Worse

Another major factor pushing the NBA toward extreme solutions is the strength of upcoming draft classes.

The 2026 draft class, in particular, is considered exceptionally deep and talented, with multiple franchise-changing prospects expected.

When generational talents are available, struggling teams see losing as a long-term investment.

As Silver explained, teams stuck in the middle, not contenders but not terrible, face the worst position:

  • They can’t compete for championships
  • But they also don’t get top draft picks

This creates pressure to bottom out entirely.

Rookie Free Agency: The Alternative System

One idea gaining traction is eliminating the draft and replacing it with rookie free agency.

Instead of being selected, incoming players would choose their teams, similar to international soccer.

This would eliminate tanking overnight.

If losing doesn’t improve your chances of signing a star, there’s no reason to lose.

Reports indicate the NBA is at least willing to consider the idea if other anti-tanking solutions fail.

The Rise of College Stars Makes the Draft Even More Valuable

Today’s college players arrive with massive hype, huge followings, and franchise-changing potential.

Stars like:

  • Victor Wembanyama
  • Zion Williamson
  • Cooper Flagg

Have proven that one draft pick can completely transform a franchise.

That reality has turned the draft into the most valuable asset in basketball.

Which also makes it the biggest incentive to lose.

Why the Draft May Be Outdated

Silver even suggested the draft itself may be an outdated system.

“The league is 80 years old… it’s time to take a fresh look… what we’re seeing right now is not working.” Sliver Said.

The current model was designed to help weak teams improve.

Instead, it may now be encouraging them to fail.

The Pros and Cons of Eliminating the Draft

Pros

• Ends tanking immediately• Restores competitive integrity• Forces teams to build winning cultures• Makes every game meaningful

Cons

• Big-market teams could dominate player recruitment• Small-market teams could struggle• Competitive balance could suffer• The draft is a major fan event

The Most Likely Outcome: Major Changes Are Coming

The NBA probably won’t eliminate the draft tomorrow.

But the fact Silver is even discussing it shows how serious the problem has become.

Possible changes include:

  • Draft lottery reform
  • Rookie free agency
  • Stricter tanking penalties
  • Loss of draft picks
  • Financial punishments

Or eventually…

No draft at all.

The Bottom Line

The NBA Draft has shaped basketball history.

But tanking, combined with the massive value of elite college players, may force the league to rethink everything.

What was once the solution to competitive balance…

May now be the problem.