A ton of big favorites lost straight up this week and many picks in survivor polls were eliminated.  Dallas lost as 11.5 favorites, while Baltimore and Jacksonville both lost as touchdown or higher favorites.

Favorites were 8-5 straight up and ATS this week.  Home teams were 8-6 straight up and ATS.  Green Bay, Miami and Arizona remain perfect ATS this year, while Denver, Minnesota, NY Giants and Carolina remain winless ATS.

Unders led the way with an 8-6 record.  Games affected by weather and the hurricane, Batimore/Indy, Buffalo/Washington and New York Jets/New England all went under their total.

Wong teasers struggled with losses by Baltimore and Jacksonville and covers by Green Bay and New York Jets.  A 10 point teaser including Dallas (like I had) was also a loser.

Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) (1-0-1 ATS) @ Tampa Bay Bucs (2-0) (2-0 ATS)

Eagles -5.5

Total 44.5

This spread has bounced around a ton opening at Philly -6.5 before being bet down to as low as -4.5.  Money has come in on the Eagles throughout the day Monday pushing it back to -5.5.  Tough to get a read on what exactly the market is trying to do here.  I’m seeing pretty even splits but one more local PA book, taking more money and bets on the Eagles as expected.  The total is most interesting in this spot for me.  This total was as high as 46 before a steady drop to 44.5 and even 44 at some books.  The under is receiving just 32% of bets but 53% of the money.  Primetime unders are 61% since 2019.  I’ll back the under with my only bet tonight.

LA Rams (1-1) (2-0 ATS) @ Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) (0-2 ATS)

Bengals -3

Total 45

Pretty even splits as far as spread and money line bets.  Not much to report there.  This spread has been all over the places as bettors try to figure out Joe Burrow’s injury, if he will play, and how good this team is with him injured or not playing.  I’d lean the Rams but the Bengals need this game like blood, so tough to cap.  The over is receiving 75% of the money but only 65% of bets.  I’d lean to the over but ultimately will pass.

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