Where the early money has bet as of Tuesday

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills
Bills -10
Total 36 or 36.5

This has been the wildest mover thus far. When I looked Sunday night, Buffalo opened at -7.5 at Fanduel, but that quickly changed when Draftkings opened at 9. This was -9.5 for a small amount of time on Monday morning and has moved to 10 across the board. Most notably the total has moved the most. Opening as high as 43. With early weather reports projecting 30-50 mph winds, it dropped as low as 35. There has been some buyback on the over as of Tuesday. If you didn’t catch the under closer to 40, just wait. Weather can change this far out. If you are too early, you are stuck with a really bad number. I took this as an opportunity to buy on Pittsburgh though. +10 seems like a lot of points in optimal conditions. If it’s that windy, I will feel pretty good at that number.

Miami Dolphins @ Kansas Chiefs
Chiefs -4
Total 44

Bettors have gotten down on KC here driving the spread from -3 to -4. The total has been all over the place as well. Opening as high as 47.5 and going as low as 42.5. This is another game being affected by weather. Frigid temperatures with 10-15 mph winds are expected. Temperature isn’t normally very impactful on games, but 0-10 degrees with wind would. KC has been an under team this year. They have been especially profitable to the under in the 2nd half. Miami historically does not play well in the cold come playoff time. Neither has Tua.

Cleveland Browns @ Houston Texans
Browns -2.5 or -3
Total 44.5

Equilliberium has been found in the market it seems. Cleveland opened -1.5 was bet up to -3. There has been some buyback on the home team. Odds are either +2.5 or +3 (-120) with extra vigorish. This seems like where the line will be this week. If you like the dog, grab the +3 when it’s available. If you like the favorite, grab under 3. There has been some over money upticking this from 43 to 44.5. That has been a slow steady move.

Other moves.

Eagles -1.5 to -3
Total from 44.5 to 43.5

Lions bouncing from -3 to -3.5 and back to -3.
Total from 50.5 to 51.5

Cowboys -7 to -7.5
Total from 48 to 50.5