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MLB — 5/16/23

Noteworthy MLB Games Handle and Bet Percentages

By 
@SportsBetSplits
Betting Contributor

All - Please note, the reason I post the website next to the odds is that is the best number I have found with the books that I use. Shop around at your state’s books for the best of the number.

Short MLB slate today with only 6 games as teams travel.

Atlanta Braves (26-15) @ Texas Rangers (25-16)

Over 9.5 (-110 PointsBet)

Rangers Money Line (+100 BetRivers)

The Braves took game 1 of this series, blanking the Rangers and going over the total themselves with a 12-0 win. The Rangers are receiving 57% of the money but only 38% of the bets signaling some pro money backing Texas. Texas has the pitching edge sending Dane Dunning (3-0) 1.72 ERA vs Jared Shuster (0-1) 8.31 ERA. That inflated ERA for Shuster bodes well for an over. The over is receiving 85% of the money but only 54% of bets. Texas is 61% to the over this year and Atlanta is 60%.

Cleveland Guardians (19-21) @ Chicago White Sox (14-28)

Cle Moneyline (-120 BetMGM)

Chicago has been a bet against team for most so far this year. Fading Lance Lynn (1-5) 7.51 ERA is also a major fade as well. Cleveland sends Shane Bieber (3-1) 2.61 ERA to the mound. 94% of the money and 81% of the bets are backing Cleveland at this short number. All stats sure point to backing Cleveland. The fact this number is so short is slightly worrisome.

Chicago Cubs (19-22) @ Houston Astros (22-19)

Under 7.5 (-105 Fanduel)

The biggest pros vs joes discrepancy I see on the board. 71% of the money but only 27% of bets are on this under. Justin Steele takes the hill for the Cubs with a 1.82 ERA. This is enough for me to back this under.

Cincinnati Reds (18-23) @ Colorado Rockies (18-24)

Over 12.5 (-105 BetRivers)

I have seen most home Rockie games with a total at 11.5. The fact this is at 12.5 speaks volume to me. This looks to be a potential bullpen game for Colorado as the listed starter is Chase Anderson who has 2 appearances with 2.0 and 3.0 innings in each. Brandon Williamson will make his season debut for the Reds. 54% of bets are backing the over but 83% of the money is.