All - Please note, the reason I post the website next to the odds is that is the best number I have found with the books that I use. Shop around at your state’s books for the best of the number.
Texas Rangers (30-18) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (25-23)
Texas Moneyline (-124 Fanduel)
Over 9 (-115 Fanduel)
Texas is just a slight favorite at -125, but the money is backing them at 75% of the handle. It’s betting against a slumping team. The Pirates are just 5-14 in May and 9-14 versus teams with winning records. 88% of the handle is also on the over which is juiced to -120 at many shops signaling a potential move to 9.5. Both starting pitchers have ERAs in the 4s. Forecast calls for slight 7mph winds blowing out.
New York Mets (25-24) @ Chicago Cubs (21-26)
Over 6.5 (-120 BetMGM)
90% of the handle and 88% of bets are riding the over in what may be the lowest total of the season. Some shops have already gone to 7. Kodai Senga (4-2) with 3.77 ERA takes on Marcus Stroman (3-4) with 3.05 ERA. The forecast calls for 20mph winds blowing in. Wrigley is known for being the ballpark with the biggest impact on weather. It’s a pass for me, but the market likes the over.
LA Dodgers (31-19) @ Atlanta Braves (29-19)
Braves Moneyline (-112 Fanduel)
This could be a potential NLCS preview. Both pitchers have impressive stats to start the season, LA- Tony Gonsolin (2-1) 1.13 ERA Atl- Bryce Elder (3-0) 2.06 ERA. 62% of the handle but only 49% of bets are backing the Braves at this short number. This speaks to me because this is pretty much a 50/50 line but the money is backing the Braves.
San Francisco Giants (24-24) @ Minnesota Twins (25-24)
Under 7.5 (-110 Fanduel)
The biggest handle vs bet discrepancy on the board today. 84% of the handle but only 41% of the bets are on the under-signaling wiseguy action. Many shops are juiced to either -115 or -120 signaling a potential move to 7. Both teams are profitable to the under so far this year, Minnesota 26-20 and SF 25-21. Minnesota is 13-9 to the under at home this year.
