Miami Dolphins (0-1) @ Houston Texans (1-0)
Texans -2.5
Total 39.5
The Texans opened up as 5.5 favorites over the Dolphins. Money has come in on Miami dropping this line to 2.5 and in some spots 2. This is your typical buy on the 0-1 team facing the 1-0 team and also buying low on the Dolphins who just got blown out 19-3. If you like Miami, I’d hurry up and grab the 2.5 while it’s there. If you like the Texans, wait til gameday as it looks like this line may be closer to a pick em come Saturday.
Buffalo Bills (1-0) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0)
Bills -2.5
Total 42
We’ve seen a significant line change in the last 24 hours as Buffalo flipped from a 2.5 underdog to a 2.5 or even 3 point favorite. This is due to the Bills announcing the the starters should play about a quarter and half. If you like the Bills and missed the boat, I would look to back them in the first half. I also see points in this one with Buffalo’s starters playing a good bit and Kenny Pickett also expecting to play more than just 1 series this week. Seems like a recipe for scoring and the market agrees with this line pushing up from 40 to 42.
New England Patriots (0-1) @ Green Bay Packers (1-0)
Packers -2.5
Total 36.5
Another 0-1 vs 1-0. The market is backing the Packers in this one after how good they looked last week. This line opened GB -1 and pushed as high as 3.5. I think this is wrong and am personally looking at buying low on New England after a dismal performance last week in which they scored 6 of their 9 points in the last minutes of the game. The over is seeing the biggest handle at 93% and only 69% of tickets. 36.5 is an awfully low total for a preseason game. I expect that number to climb.
Denver Broncos (0-1) @ San Francisco 49ers (0-1)
Broncos -4
Total 37.5 - 39
Denver blew a late lead last week to drop to Arizona 18-17 while San Francisco got crushed 34-7 to Las Vegas. Money was backing Denver last week and it is showing up again. This line opened at Denver -2 and has increased to 4. The handle is 74% on Denver while only 26% of the bets are backing them. Trey Lance looked awful for San Fran last week. If he has another performance like last week, they will be in trouble again. I personally don’t love this play, but if you follow the money, Denver is where it leads.
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