Tennessee Titans: 2024 best prop bets and fantasy draft value

The sweat may be pooling up in all the wrong places, but, before you know it, changing leaves, cool temperatures and football will be in the air. To help fantasy managers and devoted bettors get through summer’s soaring heat, The Gaming Juice’s resident gridiron gambler, Brad Evans, is here to preview each NFL franchise — fantasy values, prop picks and team win totals. Channeling Richard Dent, Reggie White and J.J. Watt, the Three-Point Stance has eyes on sacking the sportsbooks and fantasy rivals.

Today’s featured squad: Tennessee Titans.

Fantasy value — Tyjae Spears, RB (ADP: 118.40, RB32)

RB rankings

His tag-team partner, Tony Pollard, may have garnered some recent camp buzz with his splashy plays in the passing game, but Spears is a sharp point sure to regularly pierce defenses. Titans head coach Brian Callahan, who’s gushed about both backs already in training camp, has a 1A/1B backfield view.

Callahan’s philosophy clearly indicates the workloads will be nearly identical. Sometimes the hotter hand will take control, but 12-14 touches per contest are likely for Spears. That interchangeability may turn off some. Still, the balanced usage increases the likelihood for maximization, freshness and general good health for both backs.

Last season, Spears was spectacular in spurts. The second-year pro finished RB6 in yards created per touch (4.58), RB12 in YAC per attempt (3.15) and RB11 in yards per route run (1.52). In other words, the dude has serious shake and bake three-down skills.

[ Gamer's Guide to the Gridiron: Fantasy football forecasts and NFL betting picks ]

On average going nearly a full round later than Pollard in early drafts, Spears is a primo discount back who has irresistible FLEX appeal in 12-team 0.5 PPR formats. Target him in the window of Rounds 8-10.

If the Titans click offensively, his profit potential is very attractive. A handful of touchdowns along with 1100-1200 total yards are doable.

Prop pick — Will Levis OVER 18.5 passing touchdowns (-115, Caesars)

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A full-grown watermelon dangling from a twig. That’s how low the fruit is hanging on this Levis prop.

Shredded and strapping, the sophomore passer has legit breakout potential. The addition of Calvin Ridley and Tyler Boyd to an arsenal already featuring the sure-handed DeAndre Hopkins and upside TE Chig Okonkwo splashes sunshine on the QB’s 2024 outlook.

New offensive coordinator Nick Holz, who served as passing game coordinator with Jacksonville last year, is determined to shy away from the ground-and-pound Derrick Henry days under the previous administration. Last season, the Titans ranked No. 24 in team pass percentage (54.7%). With Holz calling the shots, the emphasis on conservative play-calling under former head coach Mike Vrabel should be a thing of the past. Expect Levis to ramp up the 28.3 passing attempts per game he averaged in Year 1.

Levis led the NFL in air yards per attempt (10.4) in his rookie season. His deep-ball is phenomenal, and his accuracy on passes beyond 20 yards was fairly accurate. His red-zone flicks were unrefined, though. He only completed 35.0% of his attempts inside the 20. Still, with the 11th-easiest projected schedule for fantasy QBs, the upgraded weaponry around him and a likely unsupportive defense, Levis will have ample opportunities to drop bombs or thread needles for six.

Gamers who shop around will notice other ‘books have this number a tick or two higher. At an affordable price on Caesars, the OVER on 18.5 passing TDs is a wise investment.

Team lean — Titans UNDER 6.5 wins (-140, BetMGM)

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Improvements will take place in Nashville this year, but the Titans remain a work in progress. The offensive line should be a top-10 unit and Levis is bound to take a significant step forward, but Tennessee's defense is likely to roll out the red carpet. Tossing on another bucket of cold water, the Titans have the sixth-hardest projected strength of schedule.

ESPN’s Mike Clay forecasts only 5.3 wins for the hot-chicken reps this season, giving them a 40% or greater win probability in three games — THREE! Levis and Spears are tremendous fantasy targets at their current ADPs and the Titans, overall, will flash on occasion. However, mark this dolt down for six wins.

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