NBA — 4/1/26

The $97K Ticket: Wembanyama’s MVP Case Gets Real

By 
@AnthonyIsola
WagerWire Contributor

The MVP market has taken a wild ride this season, and no player embodies that more than Victor Wembanyama. With Wembanyama opening the year at +15000 to win MVP, everybody knew it was a long shot despite the caliber of player he is. Early in the season, a calf strain only reinforced that narrative, sending his odds plummeting and raising real concerns about whether he’d even meet the minimum games requirement.

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But since then, the narrative has flipped in a major way. The San Antonio Spurs caught fire, entering the new year at 24-9, and have gone on an incredible run with Wembanyama leading the charge. When he’s on the floor, they’ve been nearly unstoppable, showcasing just how valuable he is on both ends of the court. The San Antonio Spurs are now 25-1 in Wembanyama's last 26 games played.

On our marketplace, we’ve had multiple sharp bettors buy into Victor Wembanyama’s upside early in the season, grabbing him at 150/1 to win MVP. Those positions are now sitting on massive value, with our largest ticket currently paying out $97,500 on Fanduel if he gets there. That ticket is currently worth $21,667 according to our Bet Value Calculator.

Statistically and impact-wise, Wemby has been everything you’d want from an MVP candidate. His two-way dominance, combined with team success, has forced the market to adjust quickly. He just had his best month of the season, averaging 26.8 Points per game, 12 Rebounds, 3.4 Assists, and 3.7 blocks per game in March. What once looked like a long shot has now turned into a legitimate race, with his odds climbing all the way to +300.

The biggest question now isn’t talent but its availability. If Wembanyama clears the games played threshold, it’s hard to argue against his case. The trajectory is clear: if he stays on the court, he’s not just in the conversation, he might be the favorite.

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