Seattle Seahawks (6-5) (5-5-1 ATS) @ Dallas Cowboys (8-3) (8-3 ATS)

Cowboys -8.5 thru 9.5 Current spits COWBOYS (83% money/78% bets)

Total 47.5 Splits UNDER (59% money/51% bets)

Tough to see Seattle competing in this one as they are riddled with O-line injuries as well as a beat up Kenneth Walker (who may not play).  If you are betting the cowboys you are a little late to the party as we knock on the door of -10.  Dallas holds the edge in just about most of the major categories and rank 1st in points per game at 31.5.  They’ve been even better at home avg. 41 per game.  Their team total is 28.5.  I find value in that.  The under has ticked up from 45.5 to 47.5 but interestingly, the under is receiving the majority of the handle.  I’ll keep preaching about the primetime unders which are 29-9 on the year.  The under has been my only bet so far.

LA Chargers (4-7) (4-7 ATS) @ New England Patriots (2-9) (2-9 ATS)

Chargers -5.5 Splits CHARGERS (84% money/82% bets)

Total 40.5 Splits UNDER (97% money/83% bets)

I haven’t seen a handle that much on a total before.  I really thought the total would be lined closer to 36-37.  I see incredible value on the Under as both teams sit 8-3 to the under.  Rain is expected on Sunday.  New England has scored above 20 points just once this entire season.  If you are scared the Chargers may come out hot in this one, you can look towards the Patriots team under which should be lined around 17 or 17.5.

Kansas City Chiefs (8-3) (7-4 ATS) @ Green Bay Packers (5-6)

Chiefs -5.5 or -6 Splits CHIEFS (71% money/79% bets)

Total 42.5 Splits OVER (75% money/69% bets)

The Chiefs have caught most of the early money yet we have seen this spread drop from -7 to it’s current 5.5. Some big money moved this line and I have to respect Vegas’ position to not give more points to the Packers.  The Packers have won 3 of 4 and lost a very tight one to Pittsburgh.  I think the Packers keep this one close.  It’s tough to trust KC this year, especially with margin.  Especially on the road.  Especially at Lambeau Field.

Arizona Cardinals (2-10) (6-6 ATS)  @ Pittsburgh Steelers (7-4) (7-4 ATS)

Steelers -5.5 Splits STEELERS (64% money/59% bets)

Total 41.5 Splits OVER (72% money/25% bets)

I think the Steelers are laying too many points in this one, but not enough to bet it.  Arizona is a jekyl and hyde team now with Kyler Murray back.  I’m going to look towards the over and expect points in this one.  Pittsburgh finally put up over 400 yards last week for the first time this season.  Although they didn’t put up many points (16) I expect them to click a little more this time around, at home, and the 2nd game under a new OC.  Arizona is 7-5 to the over this year and  are 2-1 to the over since Kyler has been back under center.

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