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NFL — 11/2/23

Thursday Night Football and Week 9 NFL Betting Preview

By 
@SportsBetSplits
Betting Contributor

Tennessee Titans (3-4) (4-3 ATS) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) (4-3 ATS)

Steelers -2.5 or -3 Current Splits TITANS (53% money/ 48% bets)

Total 36.5 or 37 Current Splits UNDER (53% money/51% bets)

Primetime NFL totals are 19-7 to the under this year.  It’s been hard to bet against this trend, even when splits favor the over.  We have a rather low total on this one, especially with 37 being a key number.  I don’t have a strong opinion on it and neither does the market.  If you are playing it, just make sure to get the best of the number depending upon your side.  Both are widely available.  Same thing goes for the spread.  The only angle I can see here is Will Levis to throw an INT at -160 against this Steeler D that is averaging one a game.  Another prop worth mentioning, is Derek Henry’s rushing yards, which is set at 72.5.  The Steelers allow 137 yards per game.

Tampa Bay Bucs (3-4) (4-3 ATS) @ Houston Texans (3-4) (4-3 ATS)

Texans -2.5 or -3 Current Splits  TEXANS (79% money/ 43% bets)

Total 40  Current Splits OVER (60% money/ 60% bets)

Tampa is 6-1 to the under this year while Houston is 2-5.  40 is about as low as I would go recommending an under, but that is still my play right now.  Both of the Texans overs were to divisional opponents.

LA Rams (3-5) (4-3-1 ATS) @ Green Bay Packers (2-5) (3-4 ATS)

Packers -3 or -3.5 Current Splits PACKERS (65% money/22% bets)

Total 38.5 Current Splits UNDER (95% money/57% bets)

LAR Stafford’s status is up in the air and back up Brett Rypien is ready to go if his name is called.  I have lean overall to the under and especially like it if Stafford can’t go.  Green Bay has played 3 straight games under this total.  The first half under or Packers team total are in the first half may be the way to attack this one.  The first 2 weeks GB scored 10 points in each first half.  Since then, they have scored, 0, 3, 3, 0, and 3 in their last 5.  Their current team total is 9.5 at a juicy +120.

Seattle Seahawks (5-2) (4-2-1 ATS) @ Baltimore Ravens (6-2) (5-3 ATS)

Ravens -5.5 or -6 Current Splits SEAHAWKS (59% money/46% bets)

Total 44 or 44.5 Current Splits OVER (65% money/67% bets)

Though this may be meaningless to the spread,it is worth noting that Lamar Jackson is 17-1 in his career against NFC foe.  Despite what the splits say, money has coming in on the Ravens pushing this from its -4.5 open to basically 6 every where (you can find a juiced -5.5).  I’d have to look to the Ravens here if I had to pick a side.  My numbers have this a higher scoring game.  If you like the over, grab it at 44 before all the books have 44.5.  This has slowly up-ticked throughout the week.

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