Title: MLB Player Props: Best bet for pitchers
Multiple times each week, resident action seeker Brad Evans will attempt to take the ‘books yard on his favorite MLB prop bets. As always, fade or follow Brad’s picks — fading is encouraged — that’s up to you.
Monday, June 10 — SGP: Logan Gilbert OVER 18.5 outs, Mariners ML vs. White Sox (+200, BetMGM)
Somewhere between the 1899 Cleveland Spiders and 2003 Detroit Tigers.
When asked how bad this year’s Chicago White Sox are, that’s an appropriate and accurate answer.
With over a third of the regular season in the books, the sorrowful Southsiders are on pace to lose 120 games, which, if dubiously achieved, would establish a new level of depression for a MLB franchise in the 162-game era.
To get patrons through the gates at Guaranteed Rate Field, it might be high time to revive Disco Demolition Night.
[ MLB Props: Best bet for hitters ]
A punching bag in pinstripes, the White Sox rank dead last in runs (203), wRC+ (77), on-base percentage (.279), slugging percentage (.342) and batting average (.217). If not for Colorado’s equally miserable existence, they would also be bottom-barrel in multiple pitching categories.
What an accomplishment, Pebbles.
Though improbable winners in two of their last three games, Pedro Grifol’s Bad News Bears continue to be the ultimate fade. Here’s a quick discussion on SGP legs in White Sox-Mariners.
Logan Gilbert OVER 18.5 outs. Stretch out, Logan. If incorporating a Seattle win into the SGP is too risky for you, feel free to bet on outs individually at an attractive +110 juice. At home this season, Gilbert has posted a 3.03 ERA and stellar 5.00 K/BB split. Also, he’s worked at least 6 1/3 innings in eight of 13 starts. Because he typically doesn’t pile up strikeouts or walks, it’s common for the Mariners right-hander to keep pitch counts suppressed. Against a White Sox club that’s No. 29 in wRC+ on the road, Gilbert should work efficiently.
Mariners ML. Mariner Moose is rather fond of slapping cream cheese on his hot dog. The condiment, which is popular at T-Mobile Park, is devoured by fans much like how the M’s gobble up wins at home. This season, Seattle is 21-11 along the banks of Puget Sound. Scott Servais’ club is only No. 18 in wRC+ at home, but with Gilbert’s deep-game effectiveness and the Mariners’ plus bullpen (3.26 ERA over the last two weeks), Seattle should speed past an opponent already running on fumes. Keep in mind, the Mariners hold a five-game lead in the American League West and have emerged victorious in seven of their last eight T-Mobile affairs.
Pitcher Prop season record: 27-32, +0.20 units