It’s not the best slate of NFL games today in Week 16, but every game presents a different betting opportunity — or an opportunity to completely pass if you have no opinion. Remember that just because a game is on, doesn’t mean you have to wager on it.
It’s a very chalky week, as at BetMGM the majority of money-line bets on every game but one (Jaguars +115) is on the favorite to win. The Detroit Lions (-7 at Chicago Bears) are the clear-cut favorite side for the betting public, with 88% of wagers at DraftKings and 91% of wagers at BetMGM on the Lions to cover. Detroit -7 is the most-bet side by both total amount of money wagered AND total tickets and BetMGM, DraftKings and ESPN BET today.
Here are three sharp plays that came in at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook in Las Vegas, courtesy of Jeff Sherman, VP of risk at the Westgate:
➡️NY Jets +3 (+102)
➡️Seahawks +3
➡️49ers +1
Below, I’ve aggregated 50 Week 16 NFL best bets from respected handicappers for you, along with public betting info from DraftKings, BetMGM and ESPN BET. I’ll add more sharp plays from my conversations with oddsmakers in the paid chat throughout the day.
Even on my birthday, I strive to bring you the best information to help with your handicapping decisions. That’s just how much I care about my subscribers.
Have a great day!
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BetMGM Week 16 NFL public betting info
Most bet games (tickets)
- Lions-Bears
- Rams-Jets
- Eagles-Commanders
Most bet teams (tickets)
- Lions -7
- Eagles -4
- Rams -3
Most bet teams ($$)
- Lions -7
- Bengals -9.5
- Eagles -4
Most bet overs (tickets)
- Lions-Bears 48
- Buccaneers-Cowboys 48
- 49ers-Dolphins 44.5
Most bet unders (tickets)
- Browns-Bengals 46
- Patriots-Bills 46.5
- Giants-Falcons 43
Most bet underdogs to win (tickets)
- Jaguars +115
*all other favorites have majority of money line tickets
Most bet player props (tickets)
- Mike Evans over 78.5 receiving yards (-115)
- Jahmyr Gibbs over 92.5 rushing yards (-115)
- Brenton Strange over 37.5 receiving yards (-115)
- DK Metcalf over 62.5 receiving yards (-135)
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 61.5 receiving yards (-115)
Most bet players to score first touchdown (tickets)
- Jahmyr Gibbs +285
- Amon-Ra St. Brown +700
- Trey Mcbride +750
- Saquon Barkley +350
- Ja'Marr Chase +475
Most bet players to score anytime touchdown (tickets)
- Trey McBride +125
- D'Onta Foreman +400
- Amon-Ra St. Brown +115
- Ja'Marr Chase -135
- Tee Higgins +150
ESPN BET
Rams @ Jets
84.2% of bets and 74.6% of handle are on Rams (-3, opened –3)
90.4% of bets and 89.4% of handle are on Rams ML (-155)
71.8% of bets and 74.6% of handle are on OVER (46.5, opened 47.5)
Eagles @ Commanders
63.6% of bets and 63.2% of handle are on Eagles (-4, opened –3.5)
88.1% of bets and 88% of handle are on Eagles ML (-200)
78.9% of bets and 61.9% of handle are on OVER (46.5, opened 46.5)
Cardinals @ Panthers
73.2% of bets and 60% of handle are on Cardinals (-5.5, opened –4.5)
94.9% of bets and 96.1% of handle are on Cardinals ML (-225)
37.1% of bets and 58.4% of handle are on OVER (47.5, opened 46.5)
Browns @ Bengals
84.4% of bets and 88.1% of handle are on Bengals (-9.5, opened –7)
97.4% of bets and 97.6% of handle are on Bengals ML (-500)
67.3% of bets and 52.2% of handle are on OVER (46.5, opened 49.5)
Giants @ Falcons
32.5% of bets and 50.4% of handle are on Giants (+9, opened +9.5)
96% of bets and 82.4% of handle are on Falcons ML (-500)
42.9% of bets and 71% of handle are on OVER (42.5, opened 42.5)
Titans @ Colts
79.5% of bets and 64.8% of handle are on Colts (-3.5, opened –4)
92% of bets and 95.2% of handle are on Colts ML (-190)
52.5% of bets and 58.7% of handle are on UNDER (42.5, opened 42.5)
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Lions @ Bears
91% of bets and 90.3% of handle are on Lions (-7, opened –7.5)
95.5% of bets and 94.2% of handle are on Lions ML (-400)
71.7% of bets and 71% of handle are on OVER (47.5, opened 46.5)
Vikings @ Seahawks
70.2% of bets and 67.8% of handle are on Vikings (-3, opened –4.5)
88.4% of bets and 92.2% of handle are on Vikings ML (-150)
23% of bets and 56.9% of handle are on UNDER (42.5, opened 42.5)
Jaguars @ Raiders
32.1% of bets and 58.7% of handle are on Raiders (-2.5, opened –1)
35.8% of bets and 55.7% of handle are on Raiders ML (-135)
55.3% of bets and 75.7% of handle are on UNDER (40.5, opened 39.5)
Patriots @ Bills
89.3% of bets and 92.4% of handle are on Bills (-14, opened –14.5)
97.1% of bets and 92.4% of handle are on Bills ML (-1400)
69.6% of bets and 67.5% of handle are on OVER (46.5, opened 46.5)
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49ers @ Dolphins
50.9% of bets and 79.7% of handle are on 49ers (-2, opened –1.5)
53.6% of bets and 62.8% of handle are on 49ers ML (-125)
40.1% of bets and 58.2% of handle are on UNDER (44.5, opened 46.5)
SNF: Buccaneers @ Cowboys
71.5% of bets and 62.3% of handle are on Buccaneers (-4.5, opened –4.5)
89.6% of bets and 88% of handle are on Bucs ML (-200)
62.8% of bets and 58.2% of handle are on OVER (48.5, opened 48.5)
MNF: Saints @ Packers
69.6% of bets and 57.2% of handle are on Packers (-14, opened -14)
96% of bets and 88.4% of handle are on Packers ML (-1200)
71.2% of bets and 73.5% of handle are on OVER (42.5, opened 42.5)
DraftKings
Week 16 NFL best bets for every game
Early games
Falcons -9.5 — Matt Freedman, Fantasy Life
Ben Fawkes' Sports Betting Substack
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